Some Positive Spin on the Deal
ESPN’s Christopher Harris summarizes the deal and has some positive views on the new Marlins:
Check out this haul: Florida got prized centerfielder Cameron Maybin, should’ve-been-top-pick lefty starter Andrew Miller, middle-of-the-rotation prospect Dallas Trahern, possible future closer Eulogio De La Cruz, major-league backup catcher Mike Rabelo and another starting prospect, Burke Badenhop.
On Andrew Miller:
Miller probably came to the bigs too fast, but the Tigers couldn’t help it. He’s a lefty with a high-90s fastball, the potential for a fantastic slider, and a nasty cutter, and he’s a horse who’s posted a 2.60 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in his abbreviated minor-league career, since being taken in the ’06 draft. Unfortunately, he scuffled over two seasons in Detroit: 4.56 ERA, 1.75 WHIP and 49 walks in 74 1/3 big-league innings. But he’s still just 22, and unless he absolutely spits the bit in spring training, will make the Marlins’ rotation. Scott Olsen figures to be in the mix, Sergio Mitre had a decent ’07, Josh Johnson is out for the year with Tommy John surgery … there’s just very little reason to think Miller won’t see his first full season in the bigs. The move to the NL, the slightly more pitcher-friendly park and all those innings he’ll get to work out the kinks make Miller a fantasy name to know in NL-only and deeper mixed leagues for ’08. His WHIP may hurt you, but high strikeouts are coming.
On Cameron Maybin:
Maybin’s Detroit cameo this fall (.143 AVG, .473 OPS in 49 at-bats) indicates he’s probably not ready for prime time, but Florida’s gaping hole in center gives this 20 year-old (he turns 21 in April) a legitimate shot to make the team with a good spring. In 192 minor-league games, Maybin hit .309 with an .884 OPS, and he’s six-foot-four and fast. The Marlins have all but raised the white flag before the new year, so why not let Maybin suffer his growing pains in the majors? My prediction is that it’ll happen, and the kid will reward fantasy owners with steals (he had 25 at High A last year and five during his September callup), flashes of power and a whole lot of strikeouts. He might be a bit overvalued in redraft leagues because he’s got that bonus-baby name, but in keeper leagues, with a Granderson-free path to the majors suddenly thrust upon him, he’s got to be considered one of the highest-upside fantasy forces of the next few years.