ESPN’s Buster Olney talks about the Marlins:
- Marlins officials are saying that management is committed to keeping all the players if front office wants to do that.
- Some players have high value right now — Mike Jacobs and Jeremy Hermida — and can be replaced by others in the organization (such as Gaby Sanchez) so they are likely to be traded for value.
- Therefore, there is no urgency to trade quality players like Scott Olsen or Dan Uggla, unless someone offers the Marlins a great deal.
- Ultimately, Olney thinks the Marlins will keep the core of the powerful infield together (good news for Jorge Cantu fans).
I’ve always thought ESPN was full of itself and overly obsessed with their own importance and insight, so I was very excited to look back at their predictions for the 2008 Florida Marlins. Now, I know that the Marlins performed better than we expected (81 wins with 6 games to go) but ESPN’s predictions were so dire that I want us all to read and laugh.
First, here is the view from Bob Klapisch:
The bigger problem is the bottom half of the batting order, which is filled with question marks and experiments. It’s no stretch projecting the Marlins in the last third of the NL in runs scored. (Bob Klapisch)
Next, let’s see the actual win/loss projections:
- Jayson Stark: 70-92, 5th in NL East
- Tim Kurkjian: 64-98, 5th in NL East
- Buster Olney: 68-94, 5th in NL East
- Keith Law: 68-94, 5th in NL East
- Steve Phillips: 66-96, 5th in NL East
You have to give Jayson Stark some credit. He’s only off by 11+ wins.
Continue reading “Looking Back: Predictions from the Geniuses at ESPN”